mardigras Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 R1 at Ellerslie in 6 minutes. The place market (3 divs) is at 377%. I don't bet on that but I looked at the prices and thought, who are they kidding. Hesi, you do some place betting - are they always like this? ` Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VC! Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 I thought fields of less than 8 only paid place divided first and second Anywho this 3rd race at Ellerslie this first starter Helsinki has been well backed must have a big Finnish 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, VC! said: I thought fields of less than 8 only paid place divided first and second Anywho this 3rd race at Ellerslie this first starter Helsinki has been well backed must have a big Finnish NZ TAB pay 3 divs fixed generally for that, 2 divs tote. Not sure, but they may remove fixed odds place when 5 or less starters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hesi Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 2 hours ago, mardigras said: R1 at Ellerslie in 6 minutes. The place market (3 divs) is at 377%. I don't bet on that but I looked at the prices and thought, who are they kidding. Hesi, you do some place betting - are they always like this? ` Yes in the smaller fields it is shocking I don't bet FF place anymore for 2 reasons 1. Any scratchings and you get even more hammered with deductions 2. The tote price almost always closes better than the FF. Germanicus opened 2.15 FF but tote closed at 2.50 TAB give you no incentive to bet FF because the place prices on faves is draconian 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blind Squirrel Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 59 minutes ago, Hesi said: Yes in the smaller fields it is shocking I don't bet FF place anymore for 2 reasons 1. Any scratchings and you get even more hammered with deductions 2. The tote price almost always closes better than the FF. Germanicus opened 2.15 FF but tote closed at 2.50 TAB give you no incentive to bet FF because the place prices on faves is draconian Not disputing what you are saying but one reason FFP on smaller fields is unattractive is that they still pay three divvies but tote only pays for two 6 & 7 runners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blind Squirrel Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Oops just saw MArdi had already said that - my bad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximus Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 6 hours ago, Hesi said: Yes in the smaller fields it is shocking I don't bet FF place anymore for 2 reasons 1. Any scratchings and you get even more hammered with deductions 2. The tote price almost always closes better than the FF. Germanicus opened 2.15 FF but tote closed at 2.50 TAB give you no incentive to bet FF because the place prices on faves is draconian at least they pay out for 3rd on FF in fields of 7 or less Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 8 hours ago, Maximus said: at least they pay out for 3rd on FF in fields of 7 or less Given the lack of risk taken by the TAB though, paying out 3 divs in a 6 or 7 horse field when the market is set to 377%, means the chances of finding something paying more than its chance (whatever that may be), is highly unlikely. So it might be seen as a good move by some, but a negative move as well by some - given they don't also offer a fixed odds, 2 div market. In such a market with 6 horses all with equal chance of placing, and 3 divs, you'd be wanting $2 div to break even. The odds from the TAB if they assessed them with the same chance would be $1.50 per runner in a 377% market (1.58 per runner rounded to lower 10c). $1.50 is a long way off even break even point. So they would have to err massively to bring about a price that a punter saw as value. (Punters that aren't price sensitive won't care, but even then the odds are very low when spreading an extra 77% fat across 6 runners.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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