NPC Spring Super Comp 2024 - Round 14 - Tue November 5 - selection thread

[PWJ]

ROUND 14 - Tuesday November 5

Just a note that the comp continues for the Semi-Finals and Finals of both the NPC Spring Super Comp and NPC Presidents Comp, ending on Sat Nov 16. Captains - make sure your team mates know this.

Currently Cloudy and a Good 4 at Ellerslie and Fine and a Good 4 at Flemington.

The last round of the Round-Robin is upon us with a number of fates to be decided. To test your tipping skills we start the final day with a 2yo Group scamper down the Flemington straight with minimal disclosed form. Then we cart off to Ellerslie for a couple of restricted benchmarks and a maiden thrown in for good measure. Then we are back in Melbourne for a couple of stayers features prior to the NZ WFA feature at Ellerslie leading up to The Cup. The penultimate race is a restricted sprint back at Ellerslie before the all-important final contest: a capacity sprint for the older girls at Flemington where class Kiwi mare Quintessa takes on a talented bunch.

So we have 7 teams chasing 4 Finals berths for the NPC Spring Championship.As you can see from the Table below, no team has guaranteed a Finals spot although The Chiefs and Blues would be heavily favoured to be there.

The match between the 4th-placed Kauri Kats (armed with a Triple Joker) and the 6th-placed Highlanders draws the most attention. If the Kats have a successful Triple Joker play then the rest will likely be fighting over one remaining spot. If the Kats fail or even worse, fail and suffer a one point deduction then the door is wide open for The Turbos, Highlanders and Swamp Foxes with the Manawatu and Otago lads each playing a Regular Joker. The Highlanders scored a narrow win over The Kauri Kats in Round 4 but The Kats had a higher aggregate and a team profit so these sides look closely matched with less than $120 in aggregate separating them. Queen Kat Dee will be hoping to turn the tables on Lightning Blue to whom she suffered defeat in their previous encounter while the players with the most wins in each team - Sharne and Midnight Caller - meet in a HTH.

Despite being 3 points ahead The Turbos have less than $130 aggregate advantage over their opponents, the Swamp Foxes who went down 1-4 to the Manawatu Boys last time despite having the audacity to play a Joker. The Magnificent Ziggy will be hoping for the same success he enjoyed in Round 5 defeating Tassie Tiger. These two are the players on each team with the most HTH wins so expect a high-scoring match in that one. The Unfortunate Gary goes head-on with the Magnificent Black Caviar in another feature individual clash. The Turbos, unlike the Swampies, have a Joker to play but need to win to make it really effective while the Swampies are in MUST-WIN-BIG territory and hope some other matches go in their favour.

The Waikato Chiefs are on pole position but are not mathematically safe for The Finals and could have done with weaker opposition than the 3rd-placed Hawkes Bay Magpies who could be looking nervously over their shoulders if they fall behind in this one in which the Chiefs had the temerity to triumph in Round 3 with a pathetic aggregate of just $632 ! The Serendipitous Steve P faces the Magnificent Ian in a fascinating encounter while the encounter between Porky and Jase with almost identical form profiles looks too close to call.

The 4 teams immediately below the 2nd-placed Blues have the capacity to outscore them on Cup day so have they got a free hit against the woeful Ferdies ? Perhaps not, remembering the Naki crew took down the Auks 4-1 in Round 4 ! The Ferdies may already be eyeing the Presidents Trophy but could play a significant role in who gets to make next Saturdays Finals. The top guns from each side - Roland and Maurice - repeat their earlier clash where Maurice prevailed by just under $70.

Good luck everyone !

Remember you must have at least 6 different picks (of 20) for those who post after their opponent

Please post on time. Let's have some fun and note the closing time...

Close off at 11.45am (NZ time)

 Races are:

1. Flemington R1 - 12.45pm - Darley Maribyrnong Plate (Gr3) - $200k, 1000m, 2yos SWs

2. Ellerslie R3 - 1.30pm - Stella Artois 1100 - $75k, 1100m, R65 BM

3. Ellerslie R4 - 2.08pm - Sky City Horizon 1200 - $40k, 1200m, maiden

4. Ellerslie R5 - 2.48pm - Barfoot & Thompson 2400 - $75k, 2400m, R75 BM

5. Flemington R5 - 3.20pm - Australian Heritage Cup - $250k, 2800m, BM96 hdcp

6. Flemington R6 - 3.55pm - Furphy Plate (LR) - $175k, 1800m, hdcp

7. Ellerslie R8 - 4.39pm - Balmerino Stks (Gr3) - $150k, 2000m, WFA

8. Flemington R7 - 5.00pm - Lexus Melbourne Cup (Gr1) - $8.5m, 3200m, hdcp

9. Ellerslie R10 - 6.00pm - Head To Trackside.co.nz 1400 - $75k, 1400m, R75 BM

10. Flemington R9 - 6.35pm - The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stks (Gr3) - $200k, 1400m, mares SW+Ps

 

TABLE AFTER ROUND 13

Amazingly even The Chiefs are not technically safe to make the Finals. Maximum points wins by the Blues, Turbos and Highlanders and the Magpies (with a better aggregate) could relegate The Chiefs to 5th ! So it is 7 teams fighting over 4 slots.

PMP - rating showing Potential maximum points

1st 35 point Chiefs^* $14,674.80 (PMP 40)

2nd 32 points Blues* $14,691.60 (PMP 37)

3rd 30 points Magpies^* $14,528.60 (PMP 35)

4th 29 points Kauri Kats* $14,350.80 (PMP 44)

-------finals qualifying plimsoll---------

5th 27 points Turbos^ $14,203.20 (PMP 37)

6th 26 points Highlanders^ $14,231.80 (PMP 36)

7th 24 points Swamp Foxes^* $14,076.60 (PMP 29)

----------unable to qualify for Finals below this line----

8th 17 points Ferdies^* $14,820.60

 

CHIEFS (1st) vs MAGPIES (3rd)

Jack (7/6-3448.20/2987.80) v Secret Squirrel (5/8-2552.20/2798.40)

Tom (8/5-3261.20/2792.20) v Richie (7/6-2725.00/2814.40)

Gee (7/6-3011.00/2614.00) v Stevie N (6/7-2895.20/2800.40)

Porky (7/6-2799.00/2226.40) v Jason (7/6-2725.20/2450.40)

Steve P (4/9-2288.60/2264.80) v Ian (6/7-3680.00/3647.00)

 

FERDIES (8th) vs BLUES (2nd)

Geoff (7/6-3185.20/2706.20) v Gordy (6/7-2323.80/2292.00)

Hesi (4/9-2568.60/3371.00) v Rich (7/6-2601.40/2798.80)

PJ (5/8-2664.00/2940.40) v Moose (7/6-2385.60/2265.60)

Heather (6/7-3135.00/2597.20) v Pete (9/4-4137.60/2854.80)

Maurice (7/6-3267.80/2556.80) v Roland (6/7-3250.20/3071.00)

 

KAURI KATS*** (4th) vs HIGHLANDERS* (6th)

Rex (3/10-2135.00/4265.20) v Rob (5/8-2310.40/2557.40)

Sharne (8/5-3185.40/2825.00) v Midnight Caller (9/4-2876.20/2789.40)

Dee (7/6-3269.00/2649.80) v Lightning Blue (7/6-2504.80/3014.00)

Graeme (7/6-3150.60/3330.60) v Craig (5/8-2804.60/3077.00)

Anita (6/7-2610.80/2442.00) v Howie (6/7-3730.80/4144.80)

 

TURBOS* (5th) vs SWAMP FOXES (7th)

Ray (5/8-1991.40/3123.40) v Robert (6/7-3060.60/3625.40)

Our Maizcay (8/5-3114.20/2428.80) v Jamison (8/5-2533.80/2561.80)

Blind Squirrel (5/8-2848.00/3358.80) v Punter Pete (5/8-2096.40/2364.40)

Gary (7/6-2929.60/3377.80) v Black Caviar (6/7-3278.00/3116.60)

Ziggy (9/4-3320.00/2643.80) v Tassie Tiger (9/4-3107.80/3363.40)

 

THE MAGNIFICENT SEVEN

4137.60 Pete (Blues) (9/4)

3730.80 Howie (Highlanders) (6/7)

3680.00 Ian (Magpies) (6/7)

3448.20 Jack (Chiefs) (7/6)

3320.00 Ziggy (Turbos) (9/4)

3278.00 Black Caviar (Swamp Foxes) (6/7)

3269.00 Dee (Kauri Kats) (7/6)

 

THE SERENDIPITOUS SIX (those with the least $$ scored against them)

Our Maizcay (8/5-2428.80) (Turbos)

Punter Pete (5/8-2364.40) (Swamp Foxes)

Gordy (6/7-2292.00) (Blues)

Moose (7/6-2265.60) (Blues)

Steve P (4/9-2264.80) (Chiefs)

Porky (7/6-2226.40) (Chiefs)

 

THE UNFORTUNATE FIVE (those with the most $$ scored against them)

Gary (7/6-3377.80) (Turbos)

Robert (6/7-3625.40) (Swamp Foxes)

Ian (6/7-3647.00) (Magpies)

Howie (6/7-4144.80) (Highlanders)

Rex (3/10-4265.20) (Kauri Kats)

[Double R]

Race 1: 1,10

Race 2: 1,5.

Race 3: 2,5.

Race 4: 1,12.

Race 5: 1,15.

Race 6: 5,8.

Race 7: 2,3.

Race 8: 2,8.

Race 9: 1,14. (Best Bet)

Race10: 3,6. (Best Bet)

Thanks.

[PWJ]

LAST TIME THEY MET:

Round 3

3 CHIEFS (7th)

$632.20

2 points

2 MAGPIES (2nd)

$867.00

1 point

 

88 Porky

46 Secret Squirrel

 

222 Gee

91 Richie

 

35 Jack

279 Jason

 

63 Tom

322 Ian

 

224.20 Steve P

129 Stevie N

 

Round 4

2 KAURI KATS* (8th)

$1360.40

2 points (x 2 Joker play) equals 4 points

3 HIGHLANDERS (5th)

$1209.80

2 points

210 Anita

215.20 Midnight Caller

 

430.60 Sharne

71.20 Rob

 

215.40 Dee

358 Lightning Blue

 

277 Rex

259.20 Craig

 

227.40 Graeme

306.20 Howie

 

4 FERDIES (4th)

$882.20

3 points

1 BLUES (1st)

$659.20

0 points

169.20 Heather

105 Moose

 

119 Geoff

81 Rich

 

192.20 Maurice

122.60 Roland

 

122.40 Hesi

151.20 Pete

 

279.40 PJ

199.40 Gordy

 

Round 5

1 SWAMP FOXES* (3rd)

$872.40

0 (x 2 Joker play) equals 0 points

4 TURBOS (4th)

$1220.60

3 points

233.20 Tassie Tiger

334 Ziggy

 

136 Black Caviar

371 Our Maizcay

 

274.80 Jamison

47.60 Gary

 

108.60 Robert

289 Blind Squirrel

 

119.80 Punter Pete

179 Ray

[Lightning Blue]

Priming up for Tuesday with a bit of a warm-up at Kaikoura trots today . with  some Amatuer driver 's in Race 1 😁.

In KAIKOURA  RACE 1 shortly, The Aptly named Number 2 horse  is sure to Perform well 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 👍 ,and could get the choc's to prepare Craig and the lads for Cup day.  Popping a tenner on for a bit of fun. 

perhaps the Ferdies will be riding with Number 9 in this race?  .best describes where Ferdies are now on ladder,  after being the Comp defending champions 😉.  😋 

[LookingForValue]

1. Flemington R1 - 12.45pm - Darley Maribyrnong Plate (Gr3) - $200k, 1000m, 2yos SWs
2 & 10

2. Ellerslie R3 - 1.30pm - Stella Artois 1100 - $75k, 1100m, R65 BM
1 & 6

3. Ellerslie R4 - 2.08pm - Sky City Horizon 1200 - $40k, 1200m, maiden
4 & 10

4. Ellerslie R5 - 2.48pm - Barfoot & Thompson 2400 - $75k, 2400m, R75 BM
4 & 10 (Best Bet)

5. Flemington R5 - 3.20pm - Australian Heritage Cup - $250k, 2800m, BM96 hdcp
7 & 10

6. Flemington R6 - 3.55pm - Furphy Plate (LR) - $175k, 1800m, hdcp
8 & 10

7. Ellerslie R8 - 4.39pm - Balmerino Stks (Gr3) - $150k, 2000m, WFA
4 & 7

8. Flemington R7 - 5.00pm - Lexus Melbourne Cup (Gr1) - $8.5m, 3200m, hdcp
8 & 12 (Best Bet)

9. Ellerslie R10 - 6.00pm - Head To Trackside.co.nz 1400 - $75k, 1400m, R75 BM
6 & 14

10. Flemington R9 - 6.35pm - The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stks (Gr3) - $200k, 1400m, mares SW+Ps
2 & 19

Thanks PJ, good luck Alan.

[Howard Atkinson]

R1)    1-2
R2)   6-8        Best Bet NZ
R3)   10-12
R4)   10-11
R5)   10-15
R6)   5-9
R7)   3-4
R8)   1-14
R9)   4-8
R10)  5-10     Best Bet Aus

 

A tough mob in this comp . . . $4144 scored against me (only Rex has been more unfortunate) . . . so I'm proceeding on the basis that my opponent this week, Anita, will set me at least $320 to have to head off. Hoping I'm up to the task . . . certainly my Highlanders team-mates hope so with it being a Joker play for us as we swing the doors open to enter the Last Chance Saloon. We're currently outside the Top 4, and are needing to find a length or two. Fortunately for us we've got some big-hitters at our disposal. Midnight Caller wins a lot more than he loses . . . Rob has really hit his straps the past 2 to 3 weeks . . . Lightning Blue is never far from a winner or seven . . . and Captain Craig excels at Ellerslie and Flemington. For sure the Kauri Kats are gonna have to go some to keep up, he says, giving his Joe Marler-like "fire-up" to the opposition ! 😊

Good luck, Anita.

Let's do this, fellow Highlanders. We're destined to shine this week on the biggest stage !

Many thanks for another great comp, PJ. 👏👏

[VC!]

I wouldn't be surprised if they scratched Kinesiology from race 5 at Flemington and ran him on Saturday in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes, a qualifying race for the 25 Melbourne Cup group3, I think they did that with Soulcombe  a couple of years ago just saying!!!

[richie]

Posting early as got work in morning til 12oc.Hopefully I have no scratchings.Teammates please check your own Scratchings as with early cutoff I will still be working

1    1,13   BB

2    5,6

3    5,13    BB

4    1,14

5     3,10

6    6,8

7    3,4

8    9,12

9    8,10

10    5,9

[Jamison Freeman]

Tough opponent on a big day - good luck OM 😺

Jammos Ellington Eagles

1. 10,13

2. 1,6 ***

3. 1,2

4. 4,6

5. 4,5

6. 3,8

7. 2,7

8. 2,18

9. 3,8

10. 16,17 ***

Go Swampies

(will replace any outs in a.m.)

[Steve P]

R1 - 5/11.

R2 - 1/6.

R3 - 5/12.

R4 - 1/6.

R5 - 3/13.

R6 - 5/8.

R7 - 2/3.

R8 - 1/13.

R9 - 7/8 BB,

R10 - 5/12 BB.

All The Best Ian, Thanks PJ, Go The Chiefs.

[Anita]

 My Cup Day picks. Will fix any scratchings in the morning.

1) 3-5

2) 1-5

3) 1-12 best bet

4) 1-3

5) 7-10 best bet

6) 6-10

7) 1-2

8 ) 2-13

9) 1-8

10) 4-9

Oh Howie, please take it easy on this little lady ☺️ and good luck although I do not think you will need it

Go Kats

[Gazzac]

Another who is working tomorrow so posting early. Will hopefully get any NZ scratchings done.

I think I feel a headache coming on around midday to scamper home maybe and watch some nice racing 

10/12

5/6

12/14

6/10

3/10

8/14

4/5

9/15 **

1/7**

5/9

Got Confiance going round at auckland tomorrow - hopefully she runs well.

Good luck BC 

Enjoy the day everyone - lets go Turbo's

[StuDee]

race 1 10,13

race 2 1,6

race 3 10,12

race 4 1,4 bb

race 5 3,4

race 6 2,8

race 7 1,2

race 8 1,8

race 9 4,13

race 10 12,14 bb

[JustPlodded]

R1: 1, 2
R2: 5, 6
R3: 8, 12
R4: 2, 10
R5: 3, 4
R6: 3, 8
R7: 3, 4 BB
R8: 1, 13
R9: 10, 14
R10: 4, 5 BB

Good luck Gordy
thanks PJ

[Porky]

1. 10,13

2. 5,8 BB NZ

3. 2,5

4. 2,7

5. 3,10

6. 5,8

7. 3,10

8. 8,12

9. 8,10

10. 11,12 BB OZ  

SEE YA IN THE FINAL !

Good luck Jason

 

 

 

 

 

[mooseman]

1. Flemington R1 - 5,13

2. Ellerslie R3 - 4,8

3. Ellerslie R4 - 10,13

4. Ellerslie R5 - 11,12

5. Flemington R5 - 15,18

6. Flemington R6 - 6,10

7. Ellerslie R8 - 4,10

8. Flemington R7 - 15,22

9. Ellerslie R10 - 4,8  BB

10. Flemington R9 - 6,13  BB

Cheers & good luck Peter.        Go the Blues!!!

Have a great Melbourne cup day all.

[Turny]

R1 2 10

R2 6 7

R3 6 10

R4 2 8

R5 11 13

R6 8 12

R7 3 10

R8 1 2

R9 5 6 BB

R10 9 16 BB

big day ahead

[Blind Squirrel]

Big day ahead -good luck Pete

Race 1    1, 13
Race 2    6, 8
Race 3    11, 12
Race 4    1, 6
Race 5    7, 10
Race 6    8, 9
Race 7    4, 7
Race 8    5, 9
Race 9    2, 4 BB
Race 10    4, 9 BB
 

Go Turbo's

[Sir Gallivant]

Good Morning PJ.

1. Flemington R1 # 3-12

2. Ellerslie R3 # 1-6

3. Ellerslie R4 # 1-2

4. Ellerslie R5 # 7-11

5. Flemington R5 # 15-17

6. Flemington R6 # 3-12

7. Ellerslie R8 # 9-10 BB

8. Flemington R7 # 9-15

9. Ellerslie R10 # 1-2

10. Flemington R9 # 5-9 BB  

Have a great day PJ.

G00D LUCK TODAY KAURI CATS.

Good luck Rob.

[Double R]

Scratching replacements.

Race 2: 1,6.

Race 3: 2,12.

Race 7: 1,2.

Thanks.

[JustPlodded]

Scratching replacements :
R2: #5 out, #8 in
R7: #3 out, #1 in please.

 

[Our Maizcay]

Race 1    2/10 **
Race 2    1/6 **
Race 3    2/12
Race 4    6/11
Race 5    7/13
Race 6    8/10
Race 7    2/4
Race 8    1/2
Race 9    7/8
Race 10   6/9

thanks Peter and all the best Jamison

[Howard Atkinson]

Scratching Replacement for me :-

Comp R7
(Ellerslie R8)

#  3 Habana is out
# 10 Val Di Zoldo is in

Thanks, PJ.

[Anita]

scratching sub:

comp race 2 - #5 out, #8 in

[Turny]

Scratching sub

R7 now 4 10