Maximus Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 (edited) Just for fun, thought I'd stick my Mustelid neck out today and risk ridicule with some value 'investments'. Excellent competitive fields overall, so some decent returns if you get it right. Course should be in top nick. Wish I was there! ELLERSLIE - CUP DAY 5 NOVEMBER R1 #7 Star Karen -3rd up staying type with a touch of class about her, Oaks placed last season and should be ready to deliver. Cups bound? FF tight at $2.30 ..unbelievable! R2 #5 Wild Like. Getting better with experience and showed promise last campaign without winning. 2nd up after 5th resuming and should appreciate big Ellerslie course. R3 #10 Unacceptable. Excellent 2nd her last start and looks progressive stayer in the making. R4 #13 Socialights Handy and genuine, comes to hand quickly and ran some good races last prep. Should be running on. Each way. R5 #11 Spring Heat. Not much went right last prep. Would spank these in the right mood. Risky, but talented sprinter resuming and drawn well. R6 #6 Viktor Vegas. 5th behind Tiptronic and Supera here last time is good form. Drops back to R82 but dry track not ideal. R7 #2 Saint Emilion. Unplaced after nearly falling when leaving barrier last time. Had run 3rd start before. Grp 1 winer trying to win this race for 3rd time and field is ordinary. Over the odds at FF $13. R8 #4 Aligns With Me Flashy chestnut has a devastating finishing sprint. Prefer left-handed but has won right-handed and could upset the faves if gets cover and a soft run. R9 #12 Shotgun Sally Good debut 5th finishing fast over 1200m and should get a cosy trip from ace draw today. Up in distance and at FF $12 is great value. R10 #1 Swords Drawn. Take the shorts FF $2.15 as this horse looks like zipping through the grades quickly. BEST WUFFIES R3 #19 Rising Renown. 7th on debut when caught wide. In good hands and drawn 2 today, up in trip. Blowout chance at FF $41. R10 #15 Morris Lass 3rd up today coming off a 5th at Avondale on a slow track. Upset winner here in March on a Good3 after running 5th start prior on a slow track! FF $61 and $8 Edited November 4, 2019 by Maximus 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Good luck Maximus, I don't have any of yours in my bets for today. Best for me are: Race 5 #1 Stratocaster $51 Race 7 #4 Vin De Dance $11 Race 9 #4 All The Rage $23 Race 10 #9 Rusavy $23 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximus Posted November 4, 2019 Author Share Posted November 4, 2019 I like Stratocaster, at his best he'd spank this field. Query is always whether his mind is on the job! You can have the others - though anything by Savabeel is worth considering today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngakonui grass Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 If he has improved a wee bit then i think RAPIDZ in Race 2 is worth following today. Doing good work late in previous run,over more ground today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngakonui grass Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Race 7 Zacada This time last year running in the MC,gone backwards since so today is last chance saloon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VC! Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Looks like an alright card at Ellerslie today My Best at Ellerslie is Beauden in R6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hesi Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 R1 Excalibur looksed a good thing now the tracks are firming up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hesi Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 5 hours ago, Maximus said: Just for fun, thought I'd stick my Mustelid neck out today and risk ridicule with some value 'investments'. Excellent competitive fields overall, so some decent returns if you get it right. Course should be in top nick. Wish I was there! R9 #12 Shotgun Sally Good debut 5th finishing fast over 1200m and should get a cosy trip from ace draw today. Up in distance and at FF $12 is great value. I backed it at 19/4.50, which I thought was great value. Running on well over 1200m last start, didn't settle, didn't have a clear run in the straight, Matt Cameron stays with it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximus Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Hesi said: I backed it at 19/4.50, which I thought was great value. Running on well over 1200m last start, didn't settle, didn't have a clear run in the straight, Matt Cameron stays with it owned by good mates of mine. Big striding type who made a bit of an impression winning her trial at Ruakaka, easily beating Peloton (who then won first up impressively and subesquently 2nd at Te Rap)a. 'Shooter' is well over the odds today. Edited November 5, 2019 by Maximus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LookingForValue Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 42 minutes ago, Maximus said: owned by good mates of mine. Big striding type who made a bit of an impression winning her trial at Ruakaka, easily beating Peloton (who then won first up impressively and subesquently 2nd at Te Rap)a. 'Shooter' is well over the odds today. can't get on, Bet Easy only has Ellerslie to race 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngakonui grass Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 3 hours ago, ngakonui grass said: Race 7 Zacada This time last year running in the MC,gone backwards since so today is last chance saloon. Zacada's get up and go has got up and gone. Ran past its own shadow in the straight and didn't look at all confident doing that,time for paddock methinks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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