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The Race Place

Spring contenders


mardigras

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What I found interesting was the same article had then chosen Hoo Ya Mal.

He is actually only 3 (as a UK horse), he isn't carrying any of the favoured weights, we don't know the barrier draw and he is unlikely to be any of the favoured saddle cloth numbers although there is a chance he could be #12 if one above him drops out.

Other than that, he meets all the ideas.

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Interesting with all the scratchings from horses in the Lexus hoping they can make the final cup field without running. Which they might.

But now both Chapada and Serpentine only need to place top 3 out of 7 runners, to jump into the field (if they want to run).

Winning the race will now mean little in the context of making the final field as there is no horse needing to win to ensure they are able to make the final field.

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The favourite is taking all the money on Betfair currently. With over 60% of all bets taken - which is quite extraordinary in a 24 horse field.

$92k bets out of $150k total, early days. But at this rate, the bookies are either going to be having the best or worst day of their lives. With betfair book sitting at approx -$200k bookies if it wins (ignoring traders).

By race time, there'll either be plenty of new cars able to be bought, or some crying into their bread and water. The deficit on the horse even just through Batfair is likely to be in the many millions.

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On 10/29/2022 at 3:40 PM, Globederby19 said:

Talked to my son in law ( ex trainer for Heptinstall syndicate) last night Mardi. He thinks Deauville Legend will win the Cup as he regards him as a class act. Not bad at 6 bucks really.

Wet would be a worry for me all his form on good tracks...it looks like it will be wet for sure.

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