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The Race Place

Spring carnival 2024


mardigras

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I see the NZ TAB is at it again.

The top 23 runners in their Melbourne Cup market (if which typically 24 runners would accept), is already at a market perc of 101%. The chance that those 23 all make the field is zero in reality. Yet even if they took bets on those 23 runners evenly, the TAB would make a profit - let alone the other 100+ horses that will be vying for a spot.

This is one key reason why Entain/NZ TAB is going to under perform in relation to profitability. They don't know how to take advantage of opportunities in race markets.

The top 23 should be around 50%-60% - providing enticement to have a greater number of punters consider betting with them, and make a smaller % return, but a far bigger amount.

Edited by mardigras
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