Rusty

Nice new profile pic Happy.

Right, I think I may have found one here. The almost forgotten horse (and one of my old favourites).

U May Cullect.

Current odds to win the Cup: $201 

Top 3: $34

Top 4: $21

He's had his issues, they are well documented. He will obviously need to perform well this week, and also at Ashburton, but IF (it's a big IF), he makes it to the start for the Cup, he could give them a fright. 

Am I prepared to take the $200's on offer to find out? Well one doesn't have to put much on, when they're paying that much. 

Good luck to connections. 

2 hours ago, Happy Sunrise said:

Why is he out? 

I'm not 100% certain for the reason, sorry Happy. If I get confirmation will keep you posted, but he's definitely been withdrawn, and now subsequently out of the betting markets for the Cup. 

1 hour ago, Happy Sunrise said:

The depth of the field is being tested now. Rusty might be right...

Like I said to someone on here recently, even a broken clock is correct twice a day! 

All this kerfuffle over rankings etc does me head in. Like most, not every single year, but most years, any connections of a horse that wants to start in the Cup, will get a start in the Cup. 

It's not like it was back in the good old days when horses had to earn their way into Open (Cup) Class. The depth just isn't there these days, due to a few different reasons, but the export market is obviously a contributing factor. 

7 hours ago, Honest john said:

I’m on Di caprio, as a roughy. 

 

Hj

Nice horse. But unfortunately been withdrawn from the Cup this year. 

47 minutes ago, Mardy said:

Meeting Results

Total Races 11

Total Spend $22

Total Return $4.10

Total Loss $17.90

Total Wins 0

Well that was shit.

Hahaha not to put too finer point on it! 

We have all been there mate.

Takes some balls posting picks up for all to see, especially in this fomat, so it's a credit to you. 

It's a tough time of year, with the winter horses coming to the end of their preps, and the spring/summer horses, just starting back up again. 

Like you say, turn the page, and go again next time! 

39 minutes ago, Happy Sunrise said:

While the 2 big guns of SCA and SA appear above the others it seems to me they won't have it their own way in a standing start in a big competitive field. Could be the year of the upset.

 

You could be right Happy, and it may be the year of the upset, but here is my first four guess;

1st: Self Assured

2nd: South Coast Arden

3rd: Copy That

4th: Daylight

Those three should honestly gap the rest, even if they were a bit slow away (and I'm assuming Amazing Dream is staying put in Australia).

To me there is very little depth there. 

I do have this awful feeling in my waters, that there will be a horse (or 5) that shouldn't really be there, and they will bugger it up for a more favoured runner. It's due to happen again in a Cup. 

It won't happen in my lifetime, but I do really wish that they had only the best of the best start in the Cup, and not just have the also rans entered to make up the numbers to 15. 

To be fair however, I guess if you owned a horse, and it was the 15th best horse to qualify, or gain an entry to start in the big race, then who am I to dash one's lifelong dream to have a runner in it. Just my opinion anyway. 

19 minutes ago, karrotsishere said:

Never knew you were the tipping master there Rusty. 

Haha nope, far from it. 

Even a broken watch is correct twice a day. 

20 minutes ago, Lightning Blue said:

A great tough win at good double figure odds. Great selection there Rusty . What a real tryer that horse is.

Always pleasing when one of the "punting portfolio" horses rolls home at good coin. 

Some horses go to a new level when hitting the Aussie tracks (no disrespect to the previous trainers of BCD, they did a good job), but that was a pretty impressive run tonight. Be interesting to see how far through the ranks BCD can climb. 

Blue Chip Delight wins and pays $13.70 and $2.70. 

I said money for good quality jam. Time to restock tomorrow. 

Some great races here, with the Victoria Cup (Amazing Dream v King Of Swing), The Bill Collins Sprint, the Oaks, The Vic Derby (American Dealer), The Popular Alm FFA, the list goes on.

Blue Chip Delight in race 2 however is one of my old favourites, and I was sad but not surprised, to see him be exported to Aussie. In great form for months now, you always know what you're going to get from this guy. Up against some good horses here, including kiwi Sugar Me, and 2 other more fancied, and better drawn runners, but I think BCD will hold his own, should get a good run through from the second line. Have a gold coin at the Final Field $8's but the $2 to run top 4 is almost money for jam. Not the no frills, Pam's or Countdown branded jam, but that good Anathoth Farm or Barker's branded jam. Enjoy. 

1 hour ago, Happy Sunrise said:

I don't think the public will be at the races for a very long time. The West Coast Xmas circuit, Nelson and Blenheim are on the knife edge too even at this stage I reckon.

Sadly, I think you are on the money here.

The West Coast gallops circuit is my favourite time in the entire racing calendar. Kumara, Reefton, Omoto. If these meetings are hit on the head, I will be "displeased" for a very, very long time. 

On 10/5/2021 at 6:05 PM, Happy Sunrise said:

So, it is no hope with the current levels but why don't the government allow a Cup Day crowd in the South Island if the attendees are vaccinated?

Why not bring their idea for concerts forward in an island which has no covid.

 

Cut that out Happy, you're talking common sense. 

There is Buckley's chance of a decent Cup Day crowd at Addington this year. Next year isn't looking all that great either. Oh hang on, when is the next election? 

3 hours ago, ngakonui grass said:

R11 #4 DISMARA                      Consistent and looks better than most in this.

 

I was eyeing this one up earlier today. The $4.20 fixed to run top 4 looks like a bit of value to me. Goes alright on the grass, and this is a slight drop in grade. With a good draw, should give a decent sight for a long way. 

I was eyeing up Buckskin today, until the meeting transferred to Ashburton. Goes better on the green stuff, but could still win.

Katherine in the same race is at good ew coin, and could be worth a go, at 5's and 2's. 

Yes. The ole "Woodend Watch" horses. Hmmmm... that fresh air and beach environment can be so beneficial to horses. 

Unlucky for the Methven fans, the meeting today is now at Ash Vegas. 

Just the one pick for me today; Race 9 (4.14pm), number 12, Beyond The Horizon.  Got the chocolates for us last week at odds, and should go another good race again today ($14's and $3.30 to run top 4). The only thing I don't like is the draw, number 1, second row, from a stand. Just don't want a starter's assistant hanging on to its head at the start, which I never like seeing.

I said the one pick, but I will add the stablemate Some Time ($21's and $5.50). Could also run a race at odds in the same event. I loved the dam, Some Direction back in the day. She was a 4 legged Eftpos card. 

I think Gambling harm awareness week has finished, so get stuck in. 

Good luck to all. 

36 minutes ago, craigos1 said:

The racing I thought was pretty good tonight.

Think I'll follow Di Caprio & Vacation Hill right through.

Good to see the good cattle out, and some great drives too tonight.

On 9/5/2021 at 9:44 AM, Happy Sunrise said:

Commentators just need to call the race using simple harness terminology, not over the top jargon which confuses people and has little or no meaning half the time.,

Just watched the Addington trots, Friday 10 September.

Bugger me. 

I'm pretty sure I only heard one "chair" mentioned, for the whole meeting. 

Only two things could have caused this.

1. Happy's comments. Or,

2. Most of the chairs had to be left in the storage shed, due to the track not being open to the public. 

Anyway, whatever the reason, I think the race calls tonight were very good. Well done Mr Cross. 

Count me in. Southern Harness. 

Many thanks. 

15 minutes ago, Taniwha99 said:

pardon me if my tipping is a bit rusty!

Steady on, I'm not that bad. 

I've just had a quick look at the last race for the day.

 My god. I don't think anything can win that race! I'm out. Until next time.

Thanks everyone. 

Just now, Happy Sunrise said:

You don't see that too often, a horse breaking at the 600 for seemingly no reason.

Was going ok, up until that point too

Perhaps a shadow? 

I was following Artatac over the winter, but didn't like the skinny odds today, due to the stand start. It has previously chalked up some impressive sectionals (stridemaster). 

Right. Turn the page.

Anything in the last anyone? 

I couldn't believe Beyond The Horizon drifted out to $2.70 first 4! I had to put an extra gold coin on at that price lol

Zero excuses for not winning that race, brilliant beginning, and received the run of the race. 

Let's go Stamp Duty!

34 minutes ago, craigos1 said:

I only like the one today Rusty.

Unfortunately in the same race!

4:42 R10 17 Mighty Flying Rocker @ 12

Yeah, bit of an unusual meeting, where not much really stood out, despite 12 races. 

All good, thanks for the tip, I will go for the 10 & 17 quinella!