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On 10/23/2022 at 12:20 AM, Hesi said:

Pakistan vs India, MCG sold out in 30 minutes!

Sport at it's dramatic best, even Ian Smith was frothing, best ever atmosphere at a game of cricket.  Couldn't see too many non-sub continent faces in the crowd

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54 minutes ago, Hesi said:

Aus/Eng on Fri

Derby Day Sat

MC Tues

ATR at Counties Tues with $615K in stakes on offer, not bad for us

NZ/Eng Tues

Oaks day Thurs

A brief respite then into Cup Week

Some great action coming up ! even in 15 minutes time some fireworks,  the Aussie raider is hitting nis straps at Ashburton to try and thwart the mighty Allstars machine. 

What a great game of cricket last night.!!!! Riveting each ball like that last 'One Day Cup' final at Lords where Nz 'tied' after the Super Over with England... but they gave homeside the win somehow. Maybe revenge next year in India for the Black-caps. might take this T20 title first. Best of luck to them.

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1 hour ago, Globederby19 said:

Yep, but my son said one couldn't get a curry or nan bread anywhere. All the shops had closed.🤣

that was a monster crowd alright. Those subcontinent boys sure luv their cricket. My son has snagged/jagged a group ticket from work to the Gabba on Cup day straight after their MC lunch function, to see the kiwis Towel up the Poms (all going well) on Tuesday.  

Hopefully the Aussies have smacked em' hard this Friday too . should be a good couple of bouts. 

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Even if Aus beat Eng on Fri, they risk losing out on the semis on net run rate.

In saying that, they can improve run rate by batting first, and winning by a wide margin.  Or they can bat second and score their runs in a lot less than the 20 overs.

Which strategy is best, notwithstanding picking the best conditions to bat or bowl if they win the toss

They took the second option against SL last night


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You can tell watching the SL match last night, that Aus are under pressure.  They know they have a fight on their hand to make it through

Finch banging the ground several times when he misfields a ball that then goes for 4.

2 catches taken, but not with aplomb, both misjudged and each time the fielder having to fall in being able to make the catch

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From Cricinfo


New Zealand
Played: 4, Points: 5, NRR: 2.233, Remaining match: vs Ire (Adelaide)


Despite the defeat against England, New Zealand are still reasonably well-placed to qualify. A win by any margin in their last game against Ireland should be enough. Even if they win by just one run, Australia will have to win by around 152 runs, and England by around 95, for both teams to go past New Zealand's excellent net run rate (NRR), which is currently at 2.233. However, if New Zealand lose to Ireland on Friday, then they will have to hope that Australia lose to Afghanistan as well. Then, New Zealand (unless they've lost by a huge margin) will qualify along with the winner of the England-Sri Lanka game.


Played: 4, Points: 5, NRR: 0.547, Remaining match: vs SL (Sydney)


England are level on points with New Zealand and Australia. Their NRR of 0.547 is ahead of Australia's -0.304, but well behind New Zealand's 2.233. If all three teams win their final matches, then it will obviously come down to NRR. As explained above, New Zealand are comfortably ahead on this aspect.


If Australia score 180 and beat Afghanistan by 60 runs on Friday, then England will need to beat Sri Lanka by at least 10 runs on Saturday to stay ahead on NRR. That means the difference in margins need be roughly up to 50 runs for England to stay ahead. From England's point of view, they will know exactly what they need to do as they play the last game of the group.


If England lose to Sri Lanka, though, then they will almost certainly be knocked out even if New Zealand and Australia lose their last games, as they are far behind New Zealand on NRR and in such a scenario Sri Lanka will go above the lot on points.


Played: 4, Points: 5, NRR: -0.304, Remaining match: vs Afg (Adelaide)


As explained above, Australia will get into an unfavourable NRR battle with New Zealand and England if all three teams win their last games in the group. What they would much rather prefer, obviously, is for them to beat Afghanistan, and for at least one of New Zealand or England to lose their last game. They will then qualify without NRRs coming into play.


However, since they play on Friday, before England's game against Sri Lanka, Australia will have to go for as big a win as possible. If, for instance, they chase a target of 120 in 12 overs, England will need to chase down 150 in around 17.5 overs to sneak ahead on NRR. All of this means that plenty of calculators will be out over the weekend.
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