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Autumn Super Draft Comp Round 12 - Sat May 30 - selection thread


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Round 12 (of 14) - Saturday May 30

Alternating between the ominous-sounding Doomben and the flower of Parramatta that is Rosehill.

Good luck everyone and keep safe.

Races are:

1. Doomben R1 - 1.15pm - Racecourse Village Shopping Centre Hdcp - $35k, 1050m, BM 72 hdcp

2. Rosehill R2 - 2.05pm - TAB Highway - $67k, 1400m, Class 2 hdcp

3. Rosehill R3 - 2.40pm - Magna Grecia @ Coolmore Australia Hdcp - $100k, 1200m, 3yos BM 74 hdcp

4. Doomben R4 - 3.00pm - XXXX Gold Bill Carter Stks (LR) - $85k, 1110m, 2yo fillies SWs

5. Doomben R5 - 3.40pm - Mitavite Pam O'Neill Stks (LR) - $115k, 1600m, 3yo fillies SWs

6. Doomben R6 - 4.15pm - Channel 7 Hinkler Hdcp (LR) - $115k,1110m, qlty hdcp

7. Doomben R7 - 4.55pm - XXXX Dry Chairman's Hdcp (Gr3) - $125k, 2000m, qlty hdcp

8. Rosehill R7 - 5.10pm - Lord Mayors Cup (LR) - $150k, 2000m, qlty hdcp

9. Doomben R8 - 5.35pm - TAB Fred Best Classic (Gr3) - $125k, 1350m, 3yos SWs

10. Doomben R9 -6.15pm - TAB Helen Coughlan Stks (LR) - $125k, 1350m, fillies/mares SW+Ps

 

MAXIMILLIONS (1st) vs FIVE-OH (2nd)

Graeme (7/4-2511.00/2416.80) v Punter Pete (7/4-2084.40/2203.80)
Heather (8/3-2518.80/1491.20) v The Crucible (7/4-2182.40/1730.00)
Rob (7/4-3125.80/2855.20) v Moose (6/5-2222.40/1916.40)
Georgy Boy (7/4-3234.00/2507.00) v Virgil (4/7-2290.60/2962.00)
Max (8/3-3337.60/2587.60) v John (9/2-2901.80/2006.60)

MUCH TOO FAST (3rd) vs COVID-Y (5th)
Rex (6/5-2261.60/3085.00) v Ray (8/3-2225.40/1519.00)
Ashoka (7/4-3069.80/2652.00) v Ziggy (3/8-2131.80/3463.00)
Craig (5/6-2483.80/2532.40) v Rocky (7/4-2354.80/2073.80)
Zac (5/6-2585.40/2560.80) v Porky (7/4-3132.40/2043.20)
Howie (5/6-2099.60/2358.60) v Gary (3/8-2022.40/3070.00)

ROLAND'S ROUGHNECKS (8th) vs THE JAMES GANG (4th)

Pam (5/6-2061.80/2320.40) v Blind Squirrel (7/4-2394.60/2167.20)
Gee (5/6-2214.00/1698.40) v Jack (7/4-2529.60/2370.80)
Gordy (5/6-2567.20/1708.20) v Steve P (5/6-2536.20/1946.00)
Roland (5/6-1650.00/1891.60) v Pete (4/7-3080.20/3668.60)
Jen (2/9-1222.80/2110.40) v Hesi (1/10-2510.80/3384.00)

THE TIGERS (7th) vs HALL OF FAME (6th)
Maurice (7/4-2944.60/2055.00) v Ian (5/6-2401.20/2482.20)
Jill (2/9-1878.80/3112.60) v Midnight C (6/5-2828.80/3005.00)
Tom (4/7-2324.80/3457.20) v Jamison (2/9-2214.20/2722.60)
PJ (8/3-2575.60/1926.00) v Stevie N (5/6-1936.00/2291.60)
Sharne (2/9-1871.40/3164.60) v Robert (7/4-2411.80/2090.60)

THE MAGNIFICENT SEVEN
3337.60 Max (Maximillions)

3234.00 Georgy Boy (Maximillions)

3132.40 Porky (Covid-Y)

3125.80 Rob (Maximillions)

3080.20 Pete (The James Gang)

3069.80 Ashoka (Much Too Fast)

2944.60 Maurice (The Tigers)

 

THE SERENDIPITOUS SIX (those with the least $$ scored against them)

Roland (5/6-1891.60) (Roland's Roughnecks)

The Crucible (7/4-1730.00) (Five-Oh)

Gordy (5/6-1708.20) (Roland's Roughnecks)

Gee (5/6-1698.40) (Roland's Roughnecks)

Ray (8/3-1519.00) (Covid-Y)

Heather (8/3-1491.20) (Maximillions)

 

THE UNFORTUNATE FIVE (those with the most $$ scored against them)

Sharne (2/9-3164.60) (The Tigers)

Hesi (1/10-3384.00) (James Gang)

Tom (4/7-3457.20) (The Tigers)

Ziggy (3/8-3463.00) (Covid-Y)

Pete (4/7-3668.60) (James Gang)

 

TABLE after ROUND 11

1st 32 Maximillions $14,766.80

2nd 27 Five-Oh $11,681.00*

3rd 25 Much Too Fast $12,630.80*

4th 18 James Gang $13,064.40

------------finals qual mark--------------

5th 17 Covid-Y $11,864.20*

6th 16 Hall of Fame $11,887.20*

7th 11 The Tigers $11,607.20

8th 11 Roland's Roughnecks $9688.80

* Joker played

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2 hours ago, Say No More said:

Not looking good for Five-Oh this week.  Outmatched on aggregate in all five individual match-ups.  Pretty obvious to see why the Maximillions will be playing their Joker.

Five-Oh might have to add an extra Zoom call into the schedule this week.  What can we pull out of the playbook this week?  Common selections?  Post early to throw them off?  Perhaps a roughie day with the free for all on performance enhancing substances?

Perhaps we'll just take this one easy and get our rotation in order for the play-offs.

Good thing TC has a trial special at Doomben!!

Nice bit of psychology there John.

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32 minutes ago, pete said:

Nice bit of psychology there John.

LOL. Yep, the Maxis are really, really worried. So much so that cap'n Max has given all 4 of his awesome teammates an ALL EXPENSES PAID HOLIDAY WEEKEND. They can post picks (or not) as they see fit, selecting saddlecloth numbers using any system they find appealing (eg think of a number, multiply by 3, divide by 6, take away the barrier draw you first thought of, etc etc) ...

the one and only Golden Rule is ...no email or video conferences, conventions, summit meetings, group chats, team bonding sessions, Facebook Live/Messenger/Skype-type comminglings ...just TRUST YOUR OWN JUDGMENT with your picks and accept the consequences, good bad or indifferent...

Net result? Doesn't really matter ...could be a great week to have a break, have a Kit-Kat ...

download.jpg

Edited by Maximus
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15 minutes ago, VvD said:

We discussed the James Gang on our latest team conference.  John told us there's a guy batting 0.091 on that team, so whoever draws him is pretty much a lock and then you only need to win 2 of the other 4 match-ups 😊

Complacency will get you beat Virgil

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11 minutes ago, VvD said:

Not a smokescreen - it was a very nice trial, although the price would suggest the pundits didn't think that much of the trial or the field it beat.

Now we have 2 people fanning the fires

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3 hours ago, pete said:

Unfortunate does even begin to describe Alan's stats.

tis one of the beautiful things about PJ's comps ...the fact that your individual performance is effective or not relative to your H2H opponent on the day ...as illustrated when you compare Hesi's 1/10 record with a player who has amassed just one dollar more in 11 Rounds (330 'bets')

Graeme (7/4-2511.00/2416.80)

But don't feel too sorry just yet for poor Hesi ...the business end is approaching and revenge could be sweet IF ...

Edited by Maximus
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NAME          BEST       WORST   AVG (11 Rds)     NOTES

Pete (5th)   $738.20   $45.80     $280.02           'unlucky'

Hesi (17th) $426.80   $36.20     $228.25           dangerous 

The subject of pillow talk tonight somewhere in the Mainland ??

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The last time they met:

ROUND 2

4 ROLAND'S ROUGHNECKS (5th)

$1323.00

4 points

1 THE JAMES GANG (3rd)

$956.00

0 points

635.00 Gordy

166.00 Pete
 

275.00 Gee

107.00 Jack
 

230.00 Jen 

162.00 Blind Squirrel
 

183.00 Roland

163.00 Hesi
 

0.00 Pam 

358.00 Steve P

 

ROUND 6 (plenty of repeat HTHs here)

3 FIVE-OH (2nd)

$1642.20

3 points

2 MAXIMILLIONS (1st)

$1375.80

1 point

323.00 Moose 

176.60 Graeme
 

82.20 Punter Pete

196.00 Rob
 

251.20 Virgil

325.00 Georgy Boy
 

653.60 John

458.20 Max
 

333.00 The Crucible

219.00 Heather

 

ROUND 6 (exact same HTHs as last time)

2 MUCH TOO FAST (5th)

$612.80

0 points

3 COVID-Y (6th)

$901.60

2 points

64.00 Zac

18.00 Porky
 

86.00 Ashoka

124.00 Ziggy
 

172.20 Howie

151.00 Gary
 

181.60 Craig

242.00 Rocky
 

109.00 Rex 

369.60 Ray

 

ROUND 7

3 THE TIGERS (8th)

$1091.40

2 points 

2 HALL OF FAME (3rd)

$1223.00

1 point
 

259.00 Sharne 

425.00 Midnight C
 

234.00 Maurice 

138.00 Jamison
 

239.00 PJ

185.00 Ian
 

221.40 Jill

384.00 Robert
 

138.00 Tom

91.00 Stevie N

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MUSTELID MEDIA RELEASE

The following Table of Riveting Information (TRI) has been released to the unsuspecting public by Mustelid Maths Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the global giant Mustelid Lies, Lies and Damn Statistics Inc* (MLLDS Inc).

It reveals revealing revelations of revelatory performances in PJ's Super Duper Comp 2020 by the Top 17 Players (of 40) as at the end of Round 11.

Company spokesperson Mustelid Maximus says only the current top 17 players have been "analysed to death" because there are "other more important things to do in this world, such as feeding my starving family, reading bedtime to stories (to Mrs W), and shopping for Moet on special."  

He asserted it is "sheer coincidence" that all 5 of his own Maximillions team happen to have "made the cut" and welcomes any additional analysis of the Comp from any other "equally reputable" source.

"In the meantime, any Rocket Scientist with half a working brain will understand the true meaning of these Riveting Stats. With only three Rounds of Competition left, it is almost certain that the Most Magnificent of the Magnificent will come from the Top 17 herewith. But who among the players in the Excel Spreadsheet file (attached) will finish strongest and hardest?"

ENDS

*Registered NZ Office is 1 Rocky Road, Bedrock. Global HQ based in the Bahamas and/or Cayman Islands, depending on who you are and what you want.

TRI.xlsx

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PLAYER BEST WORST AVG (11)
Max 628.20   0.00    303.42
Georgy Boy  737.00  41.00  294.00
Porky 795.40   18.00 284.76
Rob  609.00    26.40  284.16
Pete   738.20   45.80  280.02
Ashoka  597.80     86.00   279.07
Maurice   462.20    90.20   267.69
John   653.60      95.00   263.80
Midnight C   425.00    87.00  257.14
Zac   694.40    43.00  235.03
PJ  466.80   54.00  234.10
Gordy  598.80   52.00  233.36
Steve P  565.80  52.00  230.56
Jack  933.00  41.00  229.96
Heather  430.00  100.80  228.98
Graeme  446.40   77.00  228.27
Hesi  426.80   36.20  228.25
       
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1 hour ago, VvD said:

You should probably refer to your list as the 17 highest aggregates, rather than the "Top 17 Players".

The way I've gone in this comp I personally wouldn't get anywhere near a top 17 list no matter how you cut it, but you have at least 5 players on your list with losing H2H records and one of them has won 1 from 11 matches.  That wouldn't be considered "top" in most competitions.

17 is an interesting number to pick - just enough to fit all of the Maxis plus one on the list!?

Amendment to explanation of afore-posted Table of Riveting Information (TRI): 

"It reveals revealing revelations of revelatory performances in PJ's Super Duper Comp 2020 by the Top 17 Players (of 40) as at the end of Round 11 ...based on individual aggregates. Perhaps we could call it The Magnificent 17."

NOTE:The author, Mustelid Maximus, duly notes however that PJ's weekly update of highest individual aggregates known as 'The Magnificent Seven' offers no such explanation - because no such explanation is required. It is simply there because some people may find it interesting and/or entertaining and/or insightful about a past or upcoming opponent.

MM

 

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At considerable cost and under urgency, Mustelid Maths has compiled a List of Riveting Information (LRI), based on Win/Loss records after 11 of 14 Rounds.
It is published now as a companion work to the earlier Table of Riveting Information (TRI), which is based on individual aggregates. No Rocket Scientists - and only one very tired Mustelid - were harmed in the process of creating this document. 

LIST OF RIVETING INFORMATION (LRI)
aka THE MAGNIFICENT 17  - W/L AFTER 11 ROUNDS

John (9/2-2901.80/2006.60)          Five-Oh .........LEADER

Max (8/3-3337.60/2587.60)              Maximillions
PJ (8/3-2575.60/1926.00)                 The Tigers
Heather (8/3-2518.80/1491.20)        Maximillions
Ray (8/3-2225.40/1519.00)                Covid-Y  

Georgy Boy (7/4-3234.00/2507.00)  Maximillions
Porky (7/4-3132.40/2043.20)            Covid-Y
Rob (7/4-3125.80/2855.20)                Maximillions
Ashoka (7/4-3069.80/2652.00           Much Too Fast
Maurice (7/4-2944.60/2055.00)        The Tigers
Jack (7/4-2529.60/2370.80)              The James Gang
Graeme (7/4-2511.00/2416.80)         
Maximillions
Robert (7/4-2411.80/2090.60)           Hall of Fame
Blind Squirrel (7/4-2394.60/2167.20) The James Gang

Rocky (7/4-2354.80/2073.80)             Covid-Y
The Crucible (7/4-2182.40/1730.00)  Five-Oh
Punter Pete (7/4-2084.40/2203.80)    Five-Oh            

weasel kisses.jpg

Edited by Maximus
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6 minutes ago, Maximus said:

At considerable cost and under urgency, Mustelid Maths has compiled a List of Riveting Information (LRI), based on Win/Loss records after 11 of 14 Rounds.
It is published now as a companion work to the earlier Table of Riveting Information (TRI), which is based on individual aggregates. No Rocket Scientists - and only one very tired Mustelid - were harmed in the process of creating this document. 

LIST OF RIVETING INFORMATION (LRI)
aka THE MAGNIFICENT 17  - W/L AFTER 11 ROUNDS

John (9/2-2901.80/2006.60)          Five-Oh .........LEADER

Max (8/3-3337.60/2587.60)              Maximillions
PJ (8/3-2575.60/1926.00)                 The Tigers
Heather (8/3-2518.80/1491.20)        Maximillions
Ray (8/3-2225.40/1519.00)                Covid-Y  

Georgy Boy (7/4-3234.00/2507.00)  Maximillions
Porky (7/4-3132.40/2043.20)            Covid-Y
Rob (7/4-3125.80/2855.20)                Maximillions
Ashoka (7/4-3069.80/2652.00           Much Too Fast
Maurice (7/4-2944.60/2055.00)        The Tigers
Jack (7/4-2529.60/2370.80)              The James Gang
Graeme (7/4-2511.00/2416.80)         
Maximillions
Robert (7/4-2411.80/2090.60)           Hall of Fame
Blind Squirrel (7/4-2394.60/2167.20) The James Gang

Rocky (7/4-2354.80/2073.80)             Covid-Y
The Crucible (7/4-2182.40/1730.00)  Five-Oh
Punter Pete (7/4-2084.40/2203.80)    Five-Oh            

weasel kisses.jpg

You have way too much time on your hands Maxi 😉

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  • R1.....11 / 13
  • R2.....4 / 7.....bb
  • R3.....3 / 4
  • R4.....2 / 4
  • R5.....5 / 2
  • R6.....5 / 9
  • R7.....8 /13
  • R8.....2 / 8
  • R9.....3 / 7.....bb
  • R10....7 / 17

sorry for early post off to Wellington to help brother in law shift and they don’t have internet on yet . Good luck all

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Updates for this week's venues

DOOMBEN

Rail Position: True Entire Course
Track Condition: Soft 5
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 5.64

 

ROSEHILL

Rail Position: +6m 1400m to WP, +4m remainder
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Weather: Overcast
Penetrometer: 5.98

 

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PJ's Friday Special(s)

Casino - lovely little town in the Northern Rivers of NSW straddling the Bruxner Highway.

Race 7 #6 Exclusive - favourite distance and former winning jockey aboard and by our new stallion Written Tycoon. Surprisingly good odds at $4.80 at present in the Beef Week Cup (love it!)

Race 6 #5 Viking Raid - bit of an each way prospect. Ran them off their feet at Ballina late last year and could repeat here with no rise in class. Great money at $9.50 at present.

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6 hours ago, Stevie Nicks Off said:

No signs of Robert, so I’ve sent him a PM, just checking in to make sure he is doing OK

I can get Junior Mac to post a spare set of selections for the two following weeks if Robert doesn’t show this weekend

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