Midnight Caller Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 First tournament of the year, with only 39 starters. Ease my way into the new year, with a tournament that doesn't really interest me. Just the three this week! Tournament winner Im(28) Morikawa(14) and Schauffele(14). Horschel would be the roughie Hoping the submit button is working for 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 Smith was brilliant last week! Always on the short list but thought he may have needed a run fresh up. Lost my 30 quid ,with Im and Morikawa showing glimpses of form in the first tournament of the year. This week we step it up a bit in Hawaii and Queensland. Queensland: He will be hard to beat, but no value in hot fav Lee. I've gone with two Queenslanders with course form in Smylie and Sim USA: Stable runner Im warmed up nicely last week and loves the Bermuda greens. 1st round leader= Im Smith Na Davis Grillo Jones Herbert Leishman Kirk Wu Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Plenty of tournaments this week, but I'm just concentrating on the main two. I try and stay away from the fav's ,as you know! But finding it very hard this week. Abu Dhabi: Morikawa is about to tee off and i thought 17/2 in that field was pretty good value. USA : Cantlay has enough meat on the bones at 9/1 .Hadwin good value in the T10/T20 market. The only other I considered was Kim. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Round up from last week. Individual selections all started, but couldn't go on with it! I'm surprisingly missing the cut and the two Aussies not keeping up, with Smylie the bestwith a T11 finish. But all was not lost, with Kevin Na having an outstanding first round of 9 under par to give us a 2pt profit for the week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 Hoping this finds RP today! Tried on Wednesday to put up my selections, only to find my nemesis the frozen submit button back to haunt me(I blame the Russians)so I gave up after 1/2 hour. We are now heading into the 2nd round, so this is how things look so far. USA: I went with Palmer because of course form, and is holding his own but 5 or 6 shots off the pace. Dubai: Went with Morikawa again as he was nearly double the price of last week.He is a good 6 or 7 off the leader as he begins his 2nd round. Morikawa and Meronk were the closest from the 1st round leader crew. Kicking myself a little for not spotting Hansen in the field, as I had a good collect off him in November when he won at Dubai 🙄. But I am happy with the way the weekend has started with 1st rnd leader Horschel from my 8 selections, for a tidy profit so far. 3 1/2 pt spend My smokie for the last 2 rounds in the USA is Zalatoris, starts slowly but generally finishes strong. Heads up for Captain Pete, you may have to cover me if selections for the PJ comp don't get through on Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 Submit button working today!😀 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 Round up from last week. Morikawa missed the cut. Hadwin was sniffing around the T10/T20 section, but lost touch on the last day.Cantlay couldn't go on with it after leading for the first 2 rounds, but we got back a little on him for 1st round leader. Loss of 1 1/2 pts Long night for me with Palmer and Zalatoris both in contention in the USA. On another note. How disappointing was that hyped up De Shambles,who missed the cut on a course designed for long drivers! Good to see Lydia leading going into the last round. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Early tee off my time in the UAE. Not seeing any of my ££, but anyone who fancied an early flutter these caught the eye. 1st round leader: Armitage Bland Dubuisson Fox Hansen Meronk Fox and Hansen look solid e/w hopes. Rest of the weekend tournaments tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Saudi Open: It's the late tee off players, Pieters - Smith - Hatton Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Pebble Beach USA 3 1/2 pt spend Note they play over 3 different courses at this tournament, where I think good iron players are key. Cantlay and McNealy 1st rnd leader: Based my selections on players out on the Monteray Pen course as it has been known to play a fraction easier than the other two course and winds look a consistent 11-15kph all day. Cantlay McNealy Griffin Palmer Streelman Rai Putnam Those looking for T10/20 value Hahn Putnam Knox Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 9, 2022 Author Share Posted February 9, 2022 Teeing off on the same course as last week in Saudi in about 4 hours. There is no reason why Hojgaard can't go back to back after monstering the course last week and 14/1 is a good price(was expecting single digits).The only other two I considered were Detry and for the T10 Pulkkanen @a tasty 9/1. USA: The two for me are Hovland and Matsuyama with Putnam T10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slam dunk Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 On 2/10/2022 at 11:26 AM, Midnight Caller said: Teeing off on the same course as last week in Saudi in about 4 hours. There is no reason why Hojgaard can't go back to back after monstering the course last week and 14/1 is a good price(was expecting single digits).The only other two I considered were Detry and for the T10 Pulkkanen @a tasty 9/1. USA: The two for me are Hovland and Matsuyama with Putnam T10 What great round by Ryan Fox. Didn't I read somewhere he was coming home because he might be balloted out of tournaments? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 11, 2022 Author Share Posted February 11, 2022 7 hours ago, slam dunk said: What great round by Ryan Fox. Didn't I read somewhere he was coming home because he might be balloted out of tournaments? Outstanding 63 in the first round and has just finished with a -3 for his 2nd round and leads on -12. He wasn't on the betting plan this week, but did put a little £5 on him and Hansen (suggested ew selections last week at this course)as a side bet.Hope that bogey on the last doesn't come back to haunt him! Young Hillar leads in S A also, Fox/Hillar 1st rnd double for you Kiwi followers would have paid out over 3500/1. Hojgaards brother Ras could be the danger in the later rounds. In the US,Matsuyama has started solidly and looks my only hope this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 11, 2022 Author Share Posted February 11, 2022 Results from the last couple of weeks. Zalatoris and Palmer fell agonisingly close to a nice collect on the last day, but all was not lost as Horschel took out 1st round honours with a nice 10.5 pt profit. Last week, Cantlay and Putnam's disappointing back 9 put pay to a nice collect and faded for place money with 2.5 return, for a 1pt loss for the week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slam dunk Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Go Ryan tonight !!!. 6 shot lead should hold up even though I've backed Rob McIntyre. Arnaus is the danger man. Kiwi's could have been last start winners of 4 major golf tours. Lydia Ko last start winner LPGA Steve Alker last start co winner but lost playoff on US Seniors Tour Daniel Hillier hopefully a last start winner on the secondary European Tour Ryan Fox odds on to win tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 (edited) Surely Fox has enough shots in hand for this tournament Slam dunk! He played that front nine brilliantly yesterday. First 4 holes will give you the answer, the market for the winner without Fox is where the value was last night Meronk 4/1(-13) Cortzee 28/1(-11) Edited February 13, 2022 by Midnight Caller 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happy Sunrise Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Midnight Caller said: Surely Fox has enough shots in hand for this tournament Slam dunk! He played that front nine brilliantly yesterday. First 4 holes will give you the answer, the market for the winner without Fox is where the value was last night Meronk 4/1(-13) Cortzee 28/1(-11) Time has proven having a large lead going into the final round is not an easy thing to manage. Lead is already down to 5 and he hasn't even teed off yet. I hope he wins! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Fox has started with sweaty palms and squeaky bum! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 It's a four prong attack in the class Genesis field this week. Four lads who love Californ I A Morikawa Burns Matsuyama Johnson People looking for some value Bradley@130/1 Harrington is a worthy fav in the champions tour event and could have some of these old boys gasping for breath 1pt @7/1 Last week, only Matsuyama scrapped into a place which left us with a 1pt loss for week. Not on the betting plan, but a nice little collect off Fox @60/1 for my side bet £5. Nervous front 9 holes by Fox but the birdie at 12 and a fantastic recovery on 14 (I think) kept the chasers at bay.Well done Ryan Fox.I thought he was a good ew chance the week before because the course suited him,only to find out he had back problems. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted February 23, 2022 Author Share Posted February 23, 2022 Morikawa 2nd placing clawed back some, with a 1pt loss last week. This week we are in Florida, and I have gone back to the stable with Horschel and Im.People looking for value with course form, Young, Mitchell,Pan, Noren.1st round leader have taken 10 players Japanese players Kawamura and Kinoshita will be tough in Thailand, while Langer is in top form on the Champions Tour and could round off some small trebles with H, I , K, K combo. Good luck this week 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VC! Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 This week I took Russell Knox to miss the cut, he’s currently 14th favourite to win the tournament I thought there might be a little value there, the last 5 years he’s played the course he’s missed the cut 4 out off 5 he’s gone into a few multis at around 3s 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 Not a thing last week! Spreading it around this week. Later tee offs,Scheffler and Im with Putnam + Laird for value , 1st round with 5 others. Law in Kenya and Thitikul in Thailand. 4pt spend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 The last person you want leading the 1st round, is a 13/1 shot Rory! Im Zalatoris and Scheffler all came up short, so 6 bullets left to tople Rory. Burns Hatton Horschel Laird Putnam and Lipsky who came up a couple of shots short in the 1st round last week, a player who I rate coming up from the Korn Ferry circuit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted March 9, 2022 Author Share Posted March 9, 2022 Attacking 3 tournaments this week. The unofficial 5th Major (The Players)with a winners cheque for US$3.6 million, has drawn an outstanding field with loads of players putting their hands up for selection. Really tough to get the shortlist down this week, but we have gone with 3 strong Florida players holding a bit of value. Matsuyama -Smith -Lowry. Weather is looking a little unsettled, so I am thinking these guys can tough it out. IM was last off the shortlist. Roughie Harman MyLifeGolf South Africa Again, any number of 10 could easily salute the judge. Settled on stable runners Veerman - Burmester Nienaber last off the list Honda LPGA Thailand Thitikul - Minjee Lee. Only other 2 on shortlist were Yang and Tavatanakit. I hope selections may help some of you into a multi or 2 with the Gee gees on Saturday. 4 weeks out from the 1st Major! Come in VC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midnight Caller Posted March 10, 2022 Author Share Posted March 10, 2022 8 hours ago, barryb said: Years ago I attacked golf markets with heaps of vigor & it was incredibly lucrative. Heres how I went about it. The best market to consider & one that has overlays all through it is the H 2 H markets. Firstly if we assume that Betfair overall markets for a tournament are as close as we can get to a true outcome guide then this is the first part to consider. Then look at the H 2 H markets individual players across the bookies line those players up with where they are in the overall market & you will find stacks of anomolies. For example My Golf Life Open Veerman & Bekker are both at say $26.00 In a H2H market Bekker is say 1.90 & Veerman is $1.80 In theory they should both finish the tournament on the same score, yet in the H2H market there is a clear edge to Bekker, so Bekker becomes the bet in the H2H market. now set up sheets to easily record this & I would factor in an overlay margin of above 5%. Its a license to print money untill more than a few of your accounts get restricted or closed. Yes, definitely money to be made on the HTH market Barry. I have looked at it, but feel I probably need to be in my semi/retirement days to do it justice time wise and to find the best match value. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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